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| Obama's Grand Strategic Error | QE Then and Now |
by Christopher Chantrill
November 11, 2010 at 12:32 pm
LAST WEEK the MSM Tingle Brigade all of a sudden discovered, in President Obamas post-election news conference, that he just didnt get it, didnt understand the message from the voters. That Tin Ear, wrote the London Economist.
What did the brainiacs expect? President Obama is not going to tell the world that, yes, hes sorry that he and Nancy Pelosi sacrificed a whole generation of Democratic moderates on the altar of universal health care. Hes not sorry at all. It was all worth it because he and she got ObamaCare passed.
Real liberals agree with the president. A liberal acquaintance told me she heartily approved of Nancy Pelosis achievements, just like Susan Estrich, who applauded: Nancy Pelosi, Superhero.
We should all congratulate Obama and Pelosi. They used their Liberal Hour just as FDR and LBJ did before them. They passed historic progressive legislation in the teeth of opposition from the reactionaries. Admittedly Democrats suffered a nasty reverse in the midterms, but so did FDR in 1938 and so did LBJ in 1966. Admittedly, the American people are still opposed to ObamaCare, but they will soon change their minds. After all the American people love Social Security and Medicare. Republicans wouldnt dare repeal them.
Whatever Obama and the Democrats say, the strategy from here is to ambush, feint, and delay all attempts to repeal ObamaCare. They will pull all the plays out of their old reliable playbook: the compromise play, the bipartisan play, the for-the-children play, the extremist play, the mean-spirited play. Will it work? Nobody knows. President Obama doesnt know; the Republican leadership doesnt know. But the strategy has always worked in the past, so it stands to reason that the president will use it now. No doubt he feels pretty confident about the outcome.
I talked to a rank-and-file Democrat, a union carpenter. He doesnt think ObamaCare will be repealed either.
For Republicans and conservatives, this is the Conservative Moment. This is the opportunity to take a big government program and repeal it. We want to send a message to the ruling class that never again should they dare to push a comprehensive and mandatory progressive government program through on a partisan vote in the teeth of the opposition of the American people, not even in a once-in-a-generation Liberal Hour.
When we repeal ObamaCare it must be on a bipartisan vote. In both the House and Senate we need a credible group of Democrats joining with Republicans to repeal it. It doesnt matter whether they vote for repeal out of conviction or out of the fear of defeat. There must be a bipartisan vote to repeal. Then the ObamaCare repeal will echo down the years as a terrible warning to all progressives. Then progressives will remember not the successes of FDR and LBJ but the dreadful memory that the Obama overreach extinguished the millennial hope for comprehensive cradle-to-grave administrative health care forever. The best outcome would be repeal in 2013 after another six Democratic senators and 30-40 Democratic representatives bite the dust.
Will the American people support repeal when push comes to shove? Theres a good chance they will. Thats because of Irving Kristols Rule of Social Programs. When you want to help the poor, Kristol wrote back in the 1980s, you must deal in the middle class.
The trouble with ObamaCare is that it cannot deal in the middle class. The middle class already has health insurance. Just like HillaryCare, the fundamental fact about ObamaCare is that the middle class is going to get stuck with the bill for the 30 million without health insurance. If you dont understand that, Ive got a bridge to sell you.
Leaving aside peace and justice and compassion and caring, the fact on the ground is that the 30 million dont need health insurance because they dont have any assets. You cant lose your home to medical bills if you dont own a home.
One of the under-appreciated weaknesses of liberalism is that theres a huge disconnect between the official liberal narrative and the facts on the ground. Liberals talk about issues and peace and justice and sweetness and light, but politicians understand the game is about getting re-elected. Democratic voters understand that its all about My Benefits. Republican voters understand its all about My Taxes. Ordinary Americans know its all about jobs, jobs, jobs.
Right now nobody is much interested in the liberal narrative or the needs of elected politicians. Thats because its pretty obvious to ordinary Americans that ObamaCare isnt good for jobs, jobs, jobs. Its pretty obvious to Republicans that ObamaCare isnt good for My Taxes. And theres a chance that the odd Democrat may soon tumble to the notion that another big entitlement might be a threat to My Benefits.
If we can repeal ObamaCare it changes welfare-state politics forever,
Meanwhile heres something all Americans can agree on. Free Olbermann!
Christopher Chantrill blogs at www.roadtothemiddleclass.com. His Road to the Middle Class is forthcoming.
When we began first to preach these things, the people appeared as awakened from the sleep of agesthey seemed to see for the first time that they were responsible beings...
Finke, Stark, The Churching of America, 1776-1990
In 1911... at least nine million of the 12 million covered by national insurance were already members of voluntary sick pay schemes. A similar proportion were also eligible for medical care.
Green, Reinventing Civil Society
We have met with families in which for weeks together, not an article of sustenance but potatoes had been used; yet for every child the hard-earned sum was provided to send them to school.
E. G. West, Education and the State
Law being too tenuous to rely upon in [Ulster and the Scottish borderlands], people developed patterns of settling differences by personal fighting and family feuds.
Thomas Sowell, Conquests and Cultures
The primary thing to keep in mind about German and Russian thought since
1800 is that it takes for granted that the Cartesian, Lockean or Humean scientific and
philosophical conception of man and nature... has been shown by indisputable evidence to be
inadequate.
F.S.C. Northrop, The Meeting of East and West
Inquiry does not start unless there is a problem... It is the problem and its
characteristics revealed by analysis which guides one first to the relevant facts and then,
once the relevant facts are known, to the relevant hypotheses.
F.S.C. Northrop, The Logic of the Sciences and the Humanities
But I saw a man yesterday who knows a fellow who had it from a chappie
that said that Urquhart had been dipping himself a bit recklessly off the deep end.
Freddy Arbuthnot
Dorothy L. Sayers, Strong Poison
I mean three systems in one: a predominantly market economy; a polity respectful of the rights of the individual to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness; and a system of cultural institutions moved by ideals of liberty and justice for all.
In short, three dynamic and converging systems functioning as one: a democratic polity, an economy based on markets and incentives, and a moral-cultural system which is plural and, in the largest sense, liberal.
Michael Novak, The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism
The incentive that impels a man to act is always some uneasiness...
But to make a man act [he must have]
the expectation that purposeful behavior has the power to remove
or at least to alleviate the felt uneasiness.
Ludwig von Mises, Human Action
[In the] higher Christian churches… they saunter through the liturgy like Mohawks along a string of scaffolding who have long since forgotten their danger. If God were to blast such a service to bits, the congregation would be, I believe, genuinely shocked. But in the low churches you expect it every minute.
Annie Dillard, Holy the Firm
When we received Christ, Phil added, all of a sudden we now had a rule book to go by, and when we had problems the preacher was right there to give us the answers.
James M. Ault, Jr., Spirit and Flesh
The recognition and integration of extralegal property rights [in the Homestead Act] was a key element in the United States becoming the most important market economy and producer of capital in the world.
Hernando de Soto, The Mystery of Capital
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©2007 Christopher Chantrill